• S&P 500 futures (ES00) dipped 13 points, or 0.3%, to 4601.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM00) fell 104 points, or 0.3%, to 35591.
  • Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ00) eased 60 points, or 0.4%, to 15798.

On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 100 points, or 0.28%, to 35560. The S&P 500 increased 7 points, or 0.15%, to 4589, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 29 points, or 0.21%, to 14346.

Cautious Start to August

Markets were starting August in a cautious mood after a five-month winning streak, the best such run in two years.

News out of China

News out of China showed factory activity contracting, home sales plunging, and Country Garden, one of the biggest property developers, abandoning a share placement. This news suppressed risk appetite, causing a rise in the U.S. dollar and a decrease in the prices of industrial commodities such as oil and copper.

However, despite these factors, the S&P 500 closed Monday at a 16-month high, having gained 19.5% so far in 2023. Investors welcomed cooling inflation and hope that the Federal Reserve can soon stop interest rate rises without causing significant damage to the U.S. economy.

Jobs Data and Economic Updates to Influence Fed's Decisions

Introduction

Investors are eagerly awaiting the release of jobs data and other U.S. economic updates this week as the Federal Reserve (Fed) seeks evidence of easing inflationary pressures from the labor market.

Jobs Data

The JOLTS job openings report for July is scheduled to be published on Tuesday at 10 a.m. Eastern. This will be followed by the ADP private sector jobs report on Wednesday, the weekly initial unemployment claims on Thursday, and finally, the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.

Impact on Stock Market

According to Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, the current economic conditions, including decreasing inflation and a pause in Federal Reserve tightening, along with steady or increasing growth, could potentially create an ideal situation for the stock market. The market has responded positively to the notion of a smooth transition to a stable economic environment.

Other Economic Updates

In addition to the jobs data, there are other significant U.S. economic updates scheduled for release on Tuesday:

  • The S&P manufacturing PMI for July will be available at 9:45 a.m.
  • The ISM manufacturing report for July will be released at 10 a.m.
  • June construction spending figures will also be published at 10 a.m.

Positive Earnings Season

A generally well-received second quarter corporate earnings season has been bolstering market sentiment. Several notable companies, including Uber Technologies (UBER), Caterpillar (CAT), Pfizer (PFE), Sysco (SYY), and Molson Coors (TAP), are set to present their financial results on Tuesday.

In summary, this week's jobs data and economic updates will play a crucial role in shaping the Fed's decisions, while also influencing market sentiment. Investors will be closely monitoring these developments for indications of a stable economic environment and potential opportunities for the stock market.

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